Oz for Dummies: Week 41, 2021

(October 11–17) Perrottet engineering an accelerated re-opening of NSW / Andrews following the NSW playbook amidst a blow-out in VIC case numbers / Marki Mark and Stacia still in denial, St Jacinda not so much but lost / The case for a federal anti-corruption commission / And the Nobel Prize in economic sciences went to …

/ Perrottet engineering an accelerated re-opening of NSW

Case numbers and hospitalization have continued to drift down after the first re-opening steps last Monday. So far there are no sign of an uptick in numbers. In fact, this weekend’s numbers (319 cases reported on Saturday, 301 on Sunday) suggest NSW might be headed towards double-digit numbers of new cases within a couple of weeks.

/ Andrews following the NSW playbook amidst a blow-out in case numbers

Last week, after VIC reported 1,965 new cases on Saturday (and a couple of days before on Tuesday a particularly irritating epidemiologist in Adelaide diagnosed “definitely a hint of peak in the air”), I wrote:

/ Marki Mark and Stacia still in denial, St Jacinda not so much but lost

Nothing has changed from last week really, only that Ardern is increasingly confronted with the reality that is Delta: numbers are drifting up, 65 new cases were reported on Saturday for Auckland of which about half had been in the community for at least some time. It will be a major challenge for Ardern to change her narrative of the last 18 months given how successfully she instilled irrational fears in major parts of her nation.

/ The case for a federal anti-corruption commission

Federal ICAC anyone? Car park rorts? Sports rorts? Implementation of Royal Commission recommendations?

/ And the Nobel Prize in economic sciences went to …

Earlier in the week the Nobel Prize Committee awarded the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences to David Card, Josh Angrist, & Guido Imbens. Card received his half of the prize for his work, among other topics, with Alan Krueger on the minimum wage. Angrist & Imbens received their half of the prize for having provided the statistical tools for teasing insights out of “natural experiments”.

EconProf: I post occasionally on whatever tickles my fancy: Science, evidence production, the Econ tribe, Oz politics, etc. Y’all r entitled to my opinions …